Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Eller 53.3% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Pettersson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pettersson
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Pettersson
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
53.8% (865)
-9.7%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
57.1% (21)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
52.6% (137)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Eller
Home
45.0% (489)
56.4% (486)
Away
43.7% (508)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Pettersson
Eller
P1
46.0%
55.1%
P2
45.7%
55.3%
P3
42.2%
51.7%
OT
23.1%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |