Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 88.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 77.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Pettersson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Pettersson
Eller
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
5
Pettersson
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Pettersson
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
7
Pettersson
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,596)
51.1% (10,321)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.4% (553)
52.8% (621)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (241)
46.6% (1,759)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,632).
Pettersson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Eller
Home
46.8% (2,757)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
45.2% (2,633)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Pettersson
Eller
P1
44.8%
51.2%
P2
46.1%
50.1%
P3
47.4%
50.2%
OT
39.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
46.0%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |