Elias Pettersson vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 59.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Pettersson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Pettersson
Duchene
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
6
Pettersson
Duchene
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Pettersson
Duchene
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
53.9% (10,438)
-8.6%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
57.0% (1,677)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
49.1% (468)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Duchene
Home
46.8% (2,757)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Pettersson
Duchene
P1
44.7%
54.4%
P2
46.1%
54.5%
P3
47.4%
53.4%
OT
39.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 21, 2023 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |