Elias Pettersson vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs McCarron 54.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 89.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 59.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 66.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Pettersson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
McCarron
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Pettersson
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Pettersson
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
54.2% (756)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
55.6% (9)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
55.1% (158)
-3.2%
On even strength, McCarron has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McCarron
Home
48.1% (489)
54.6% (445)
Away
46.9% (475)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Pettersson
McCarron
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
48.3%
55.6%
P3
46.6%
53.7%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |