Elias Pettersson vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McCarron 52.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 83.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 62.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Pettersson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Pettersson
McCarron
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
0
Pettersson
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
5
Pettersson
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
52.8% (697)
-6.9%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
18.2% (11)
+36.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
52.6% (211)
-16.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McCarron
Home
49.1% (607)
52.8% (477)
Away
44.7% (595)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Pettersson
McCarron
P1
45.5%
56.2%
P2
48.0%
52.4%
P3
47.1%
48.7%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |