Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Marner 43.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 78.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Pettersson
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pettersson
Marner
Last 6: Pettersson 5-1 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Marner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Marner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Marner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
41.4% (302)
+4.9%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
40.0% (5)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
25.0% (12)
+9.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Pettersson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Pettersson shoots left. Marner is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Marner
Home
49.1% (607)
36.6% (172)
Away
44.9% (575)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Pettersson
Marner
P1
46.1%
40.8%
P2
48.1%
40.5%
P3
46.8%
41.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Marner
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |