Elias Pettersson vs Mitch Marner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Marner 42.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 62.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Pettersson
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Pettersson
Marner
Last 9: Pettersson 6-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Marner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Marner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
41.7% (496)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
55.6% (18)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
35.4% (65)
+3.3%
On even strength, Pettersson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,768).
Pettersson shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Marner
Home
46.8% (2,757)
38.0% (321)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Pettersson
Marner
P1
44.7%
38.7%
P2
46.1%
41.5%
P3
47.4%
45.5%
OT
39.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |