Elias Pettersson vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.1% vs Frost 50.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 20-7 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 86.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 79.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 86.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Pettersson
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
20
(27 meetings)
7
20
Pettersson
Frost
Last 10: Pettersson 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
7
Pettersson
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
7
Pettersson
Frost
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
3
6
Pettersson
Frost
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (4,596)
49.6% (3,642)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.4% (553)
55.5% (631)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (241)
55.0% (40)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,632).
Pettersson shoots left. Frost is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,832).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Frost
Home
46.8% (2,757)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
45.2% (2,633)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Pettersson
Frost
P1
44.8%
51.1%
P2
46.1%
51.3%
P3
47.4%
48.7%
OT
39.7%
64.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
46.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |