Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Dowd 48.6% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 86.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Pettersson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Pettersson
Dowd
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
0
Pettersson
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Pettersson
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
3
Pettersson
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
51.0% (671)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
0.0% (2)
+55.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
41.5% (224)
-5.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Dowd
Home
49.1% (607)
48.2% (471)
Away
44.7% (595)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Pettersson
Dowd
P1
45.5%
48.3%
P2
48.0%
46.8%
P3
47.1%
51.0%
OT
47.1%
30.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 13:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |