Elias Pettersson vs Nick Schmaltz
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 76.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 85.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 80.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Last 7: Pettersson 5-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Pettersson
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
38.5% (309)
+11.9%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
53.2% (79)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
25.0% (12)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Home
50.7% (420)
38.0% (184)
Away
50.9% (379)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Pettersson
Schmaltz
P1
48.0%
40.3%
P2
47.6%
39.9%
P3
57.5%
40.7%
OT
30.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |