Elias Pettersson vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
46.5% (484)
-2.7%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
47.5% (99)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
46.7% (15)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pettersson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pettersson shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Home
48.3% (453)
45.3% (298)
Away
43.4% (495)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Pettersson
Schmaltz
P1
44.7%
40.4%
P2
46.0%
46.8%
P3
46.4%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |