Elias Pettersson vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 46.2%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 65.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
45.9% (697)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
47.9% (117)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
48.0% (25)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Schmaltz
Home
49.1% (607)
44.9% (434)
Away
44.7% (595)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Pettersson
Schmaltz
P1
45.5%
41.5%
P2
48.0%
46.7%
P3
47.1%
51.1%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |