Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Roy 48.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Pettersson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pettersson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
49.5% (746)
-5.6%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
50.7% (75)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
42.7% (110)
+2.8%
On even strength, Roy has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Roy
Home
45.5% (290)
47.7% (491)
Away
42.4% (250)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Pettersson
Roy
P1
40.2%
51.1%
P2
43.9%
44.6%
P3
48.8%
50.9%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
37.5%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |