Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 78.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Pettersson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pettersson
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pettersson
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
51.9% (547)
-6.0%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
54.1% (37)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
53.3% (92)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Roy
Home
49.1% (607)
54.0% (328)
Away
44.7% (595)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Pettersson
Roy
P1
45.5%
53.5%
P2
48.0%
51.6%
P3
47.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |