Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 56.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 53.5%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 58.2%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
3
Pettersson
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
40.5% (190)
+5.4%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
42.9% (14)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
30.0% (10)
+5.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
49.1% (607)
40.7% (118)
Away
44.7% (595)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
45.5%
42.3%
P2
48.0%
37.5%
P3
47.1%
40.3%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |