Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 59.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.6%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 50.1%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
41.0% (78)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
44.4% (9)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
20.0% (5)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
48.3% (453)
40.0% (60)
Away
43.4% (495)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
44.7%
38.1%
P2
46.0%
30.8%
P3
46.4%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |