Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 51.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 52.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 52.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
4
Pettersson
Buchnevich
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
33.7% (819)
+11.3%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
44.7% (47)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
21.9% (32)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,477).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.7% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
46.5% (2,603)
34.9% (459)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
44.5%
33.9%
P2
45.6%
33.9%
P3
47.3%
33.6%
OT
40.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |