Elias Pettersson vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 52.3%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 50.9%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 53.2%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
6
Pettersson
Buchnevich
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Buchnevich
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
34.5% (931)
+10.8%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
44.2% (52)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
24.3% (37)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Buchnevich
Home
46.8% (2,757)
35.6% (517)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Pettersson
Buchnevich
P1
44.7%
35.2%
P2
46.1%
34.8%
P3
47.4%
33.4%
OT
39.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |