Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs McLeod 47.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 66.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 68.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pettersson
McLeod
Last 7: Pettersson 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
49.0% (827)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
44.0% (91)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
43.0% (272)
-8.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
49.1% (607)
48.5% (619)
Away
44.9% (575)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
46.1%
52.7%
P2
48.1%
43.9%
P3
46.8%
45.8%
OT
47.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |