Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McLeod 47.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.0%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 50.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Pettersson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pettersson
McLeod
Last 7: Pettersson 2-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Pettersson
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Pettersson
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
49.0% (827)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
44.0% (91)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
43.0% (272)
-7.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McLeod
Home
49.1% (607)
48.5% (619)
Away
44.7% (595)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Pettersson
McLeod
P1
45.5%
52.7%
P2
48.0%
43.9%
P3
47.1%
45.8%
OT
47.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |