Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Strome 42.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 65.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 62.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 58.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Pettersson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Pettersson
Strome
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
41.2% (1,040)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
43.0% (151)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
51.4% (35)
+0.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Strome
Home
48.1% (489)
40.1% (581)
Away
46.9% (475)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Pettersson
Strome
P1
47.4%
41.4%
P2
48.3%
42.9%
P3
46.6%
40.5%
OT
55.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |