Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Strome 45.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 51.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Pettersson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Pettersson
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
45.4% (315)
+0.5%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
35.7% (28)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
50.0% (4)
-14.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Strome
Home
49.1% (607)
42.6% (188)
Away
44.7% (595)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Pettersson
Strome
P1
45.5%
38.6%
P2
48.0%
48.4%
P3
47.1%
46.2%
OT
47.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |