Elias Pettersson vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 78.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 71.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 75.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Pettersson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Stamkos
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Pettersson
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Pettersson
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
55.3% (628)
-11.2%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
55.1% (216)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
40.2% (87)
-5.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Stamkos
Home
45.0% (489)
55.5% (499)
Away
43.7% (508)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Pettersson
Stamkos
P1
46.0%
50.7%
P2
45.7%
53.8%
P3
42.2%
55.9%
OT
23.1%
87.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |