Elias Pettersson vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 61.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Pettersson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Stamkos
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Pettersson
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
57.1% (368)
-11.2%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
55.2% (96)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
50.0% (10)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Stamkos
Home
49.1% (607)
53.9% (230)
Away
44.7% (595)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Pettersson
Stamkos
P1
45.5%
56.7%
P2
48.0%
54.1%
P3
47.1%
59.2%
OT
47.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 04:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |