Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Hertl 56.6% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 63.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 50.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Pettersson
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
56.6% (632)
-12.8%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
58.7% (206)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
63.6% (22)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
48.3% (453)
59.7% (434)
Away
43.4% (495)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
44.7%
51.0%
P2
46.0%
64.0%
P3
46.4%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
44.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%