Elias Pettersson vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs Hertl 54.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 33-22 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 93.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 93.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
33
(55 meetings)
22
33
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
3
Pettersson
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
10
16
Pettersson
Hertl
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
14
Pettersson
Hertl
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
53.6% (8,077)
-8.6%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
59.7% (1,916)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
46.0% (793)
-7.1%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,477).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,755).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
46.5% (2,603)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
44.5%
53.6%
P2
45.6%
53.9%
P3
47.3%
55.1%
OT
40.3%
46.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |