Elias Pettersson vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Hertl 54.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 39-25 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 84.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 94.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 94.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Pettersson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
39
(64 meetings)
25
39
Pettersson
Hertl
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
6
Pettersson
Hertl
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
12
18
Pettersson
Hertl
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
15
Pettersson
Hertl
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
53.9% (8,303)
-8.6%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
59.2% (1,995)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
46.3% (806)
-7.6%
On even strength, Hertl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hertl
Home
46.8% (2,757)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Pettersson
Hertl
P1
44.7%
53.6%
P2
46.1%
54.2%
P3
47.4%
55.3%
OT
39.7%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |