Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Gourde 48.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 65.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Pettersson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pettersson
Gourde
Last 7: Pettersson 3-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Pettersson
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
48.0% (914)
+2.4%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
54.2% (48)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
43.9% (123)
-3.0%
On power play, Pettersson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gourde
Home
50.7% (420)
50.2% (512)
Away
50.9% (379)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Pettersson
Gourde
P1
48.0%
50.0%
P2
47.6%
45.3%
P3
57.5%
48.6%
OT
30.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |