Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Pettersson
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Pettersson
Gourde
Last 10: Pettersson 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
1
Pettersson
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
2
Pettersson
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
47.2% (687)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
45.0% (20)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
33.0% (88)
+2.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Gourde
Home
49.1% (607)
44.4% (356)
Away
44.7% (595)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Pettersson
Gourde
P1
45.5%
42.2%
P2
48.0%
50.0%
P3
47.1%
44.5%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |