Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Evans 55.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 67.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Haula
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Haula
Evans
Last 5: Haula 3-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Haula
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
55.6% (522)
-5.7%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
72.7% (11)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
55.2% (210)
-12.8%
On power play, Evans has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Haula
Evans
Home
48.5% (468)
54.7% (402)
Away
51.1% (423)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Haula
Evans
P1
52.5%
57.9%
P2
51.1%
55.2%
P3
45.9%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |