Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.2%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Evans 52.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 72.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Haula
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
17
(40 meetings)
23
17
Haula
Evans
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
12
4
Haula
Evans
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
9
Haula
Evans
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
9
4
Haula
Evans
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
53.7% (3,740)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
60.6% (71)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
47.1% (1,228)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Haula
Evans
Home
53.4% (4,520)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Haula
Evans
P1
53.2%
54.0%
P2
51.4%
50.9%
P3
52.6%
52.0%
OT
43.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |