Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 73.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 71.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 60.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Haula
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Haula
Stenlund
Last 8: Haula 4-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
3
Haula
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
56.2% (650)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
53.2% (47)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
51.6% (312)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Haula
Stenlund
Home
48.5% (468)
56.9% (483)
Away
51.1% (423)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Haula
Stenlund
P1
52.5%
54.2%
P2
51.1%
53.2%
P3
45.9%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |