Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 70.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 51.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Haula
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Haula
Stenlund
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Haula
Stenlund
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
5
Haula
Stenlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
6
4
Haula
Stenlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
55.3% (2,738)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
52.6% (116)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
50.4% (924)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Haula
Stenlund
Home
53.4% (4,520)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Haula
Stenlund
P1
53.2%
56.2%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
52.6%
53.0%
OT
43.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Erik Haula |