Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 57.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 72.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 62.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Haula
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Haula
Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Haula
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
45.0% (695)
+4.9%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
46.4% (84)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
32.9% (85)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Haula
Carlsson
Home
48.5% (468)
42.5% (435)
Away
51.1% (423)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Haula
Carlsson
P1
52.5%
45.3%
P2
51.1%
38.7%
P3
45.9%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |