Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 84.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 92.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 89.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Haula
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Haula
Carlsson
Last 8: Haula 6-2 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Carlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Carlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
40.9% (1,878)
+11.9%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
42.9% (156)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
34.7% (121)
+8.7%
On power play, Haula has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
Haula
Carlsson
Home
53.4% (4,520)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Haula
Carlsson
P1
53.2%
43.3%
P2
51.4%
36.2%
P3
52.6%
43.3%
OT
43.5%
40.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |