Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Barzal 41.9% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 65.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 86.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 84.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Haula
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Barzal
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
40.9% (469)
+9.0%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
34.2% (38)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
28.6% (7)
+13.8%
On power play, Haula has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Haula
Barzal
Home
48.5% (468)
39.2% (250)
Away
51.1% (423)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Haula
Barzal
P1
52.5%
46.3%
P2
51.1%
36.7%
P3
45.9%
38.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |