Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 73.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 95.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 93.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Haula
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Haula
Barzal
Last 10: Haula 8-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
3
Haula
Barzal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
1
Haula
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
41.9% (3,571)
+10.9%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
43.4% (205)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
42.3% (26)
+1.1%
On power play, Haula has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Haula
Barzal
Home
53.4% (4,520)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Haula
Barzal
P1
53.2%
40.6%
P2
51.4%
44.6%
P3
52.6%
41.1%
OT
43.5%
27.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Erik Haula |