Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Marner 42.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 59.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 84.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 81.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Haula
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Haula
Marner
Last 9: Haula 6-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
2
Haula
Marner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Marner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
40.8% (316)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
40.0% (5)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
25.0% (12)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Marner is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Haula
Marner
Home
48.5% (468)
36.0% (186)
Away
51.1% (423)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Haula
Marner
P1
52.5%
40.7%
P2
51.1%
41.0%
P3
45.9%
38.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |