Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Marner 42.7% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 66.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 92.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 89.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Haula
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Haula
Marner
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
1
2
Haula
Marner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Marner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Marner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
41.7% (496)
+11.1%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
55.6% (18)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
35.4% (65)
+8.0%
On even strength, Haula has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Haula
Marner
Home
53.4% (4,520)
38.0% (321)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Haula
Marner
P1
53.2%
38.7%
P2
51.4%
41.5%
P3
52.6%
45.5%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |