Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 68.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.3%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Haula
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
51.9% (547)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
54.1% (37)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
53.3% (92)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Haula
Roy
Home
48.5% (468)
54.0% (328)
Away
51.1% (423)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Haula
Roy
P1
52.5%
53.5%
P2
51.1%
51.6%
P3
45.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |