Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Roy 48.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 57.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Haula
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Haula
Roy
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Haula
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
5
Haula
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
4
3
Haula
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
48.7% (3,719)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
49.5% (283)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
45.5% (477)
-2.1%
On power play, Haula has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Haula
Roy
Home
53.4% (4,520)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Haula
Roy
P1
53.2%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
46.3%
P3
52.6%
48.1%
OT
43.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |