Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Cates 45.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 57.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 50.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Haula
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Haula
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
45.5% (756)
+4.4%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
42.1% (114)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
44.7% (47)
-2.3%
On power play, Haula has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Haula
Cates
Home
48.5% (468)
46.2% (468)
Away
51.1% (423)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Haula
Cates
P1
52.5%
46.0%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
45.9%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |