Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 17-4 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 95.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 94.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 91.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 93.8%
93.8%
6.2%
Haula
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
4
(21 meetings)
17
4
Haula
Cates
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
9
0
Haula
Cates
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
2
Haula
Cates
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
4
2
Haula
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
44.1% (2,786)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
42.9% (254)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
34.9% (373)
+8.5%
On power play, Haula has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Haula
Cates
Home
53.4% (4,520)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Haula
Cates
P1
53.2%
44.5%
P2
51.4%
43.7%
P3
52.6%
41.2%
OT
43.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Erik Haula |