Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Hertl 57.5% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 77.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 63.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Haula
Hertl
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
6
Haula
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
3
Haula
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
58.7% (858)
-8.8%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
55.8% (285)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
62.9% (35)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
48.5% (468)
60.1% (599)
Away
51.1% (423)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
52.5%
52.4%
P2
51.1%
63.9%
P3
45.9%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |