Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Hertl 54.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 39-31 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 58.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 73.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 64.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
39
(70 meetings)
31
39
Haula
Hertl
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
16
Haula
Hertl
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
14
13
Haula
Hertl
27 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Haula
Hertl
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
53.9% (8,303)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
59.2% (1,995)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
46.3% (806)
-2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
53.4% (4,520)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
53.2%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
54.2%
P3
52.6%
55.3%
OT
43.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |