Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Hughes 39.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 68.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 59.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Rodrigues
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Hughes
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Rodrigues
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Rodrigues
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
36.7% (305)
+11.1%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
14.3% (7)
+32.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
33.3% (6)
+3.5%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hughes
Home
47.9% (445)
35.8% (159)
Away
45.4% (346)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hughes
P1
48.3%
42.3%
P2
47.0%
28.2%
P3
44.8%
37.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |