Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Eller 55.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 54.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 68.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Rodrigues
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Rodrigues
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
56.0% (459)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
77.8% (9)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
51.9% (54)
-15.1%
On power play, Eller has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Eller
Home
47.9% (445)
52.6% (215)
Away
45.4% (346)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Rodrigues
Eller
P1
48.3%
54.1%
P2
47.0%
57.6%
P3
44.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
50.3%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |