Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Frost 56.4% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 82.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 66.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Rodrigues
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rodrigues
Frost
Last 6: Rodrigues 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Rodrigues
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Rodrigues
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
56.0% (755)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
60.1% (173)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
88.9% (9)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Frost
Home
47.9% (445)
57.3% (497)
Away
45.4% (346)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Rodrigues
Frost
P1
48.3%
60.2%
P2
47.0%
56.0%
P3
44.8%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |