Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Frost 50.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 52.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 74.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rodrigues
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Rodrigues
Frost
Last 10: Rodrigues 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
5
Rodrigues
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
1
Rodrigues
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Rodrigues
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
49.7% (3,652)
-3.5%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
55.4% (632)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
55.0% (40)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Frost
Home
47.1% (1,836)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Rodrigues
Frost
P1
46.9%
51.2%
P2
46.1%
51.3%
P3
44.4%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 19:05 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |