Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Greig 51.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 70.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Rodrigues
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Rodrigues
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
51.9% (347)
-4.1%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
66.7% (24)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
44.8% (87)
-8.0%
On power play, Greig has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Greig
Home
47.9% (445)
50.4% (254)
Away
45.4% (346)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Rodrigues
Greig
P1
48.3%
45.9%
P2
47.0%
60.1%
P3
44.8%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |