Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Greig 49.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 55.2%
Defensive zone
Greig 80.9%
Neutral zone
Greig 66.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Rodrigues
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Rodrigues
Greig
Last 9: Rodrigues 6-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rodrigues
Greig
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
48.7% (1,144)
-2.5%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
56.8% (74)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
47.2% (178)
-4.5%
On power play, Greig has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Greig
Home
47.1% (1,836)
49.9% (688)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Rodrigues
Greig
P1
46.9%
46.0%
P2
46.1%
51.8%
P3
44.4%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |