Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Colton 49.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 51.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 65.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Rodrigues
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Colton
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
47.3% (91)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
71.4% (7)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Colton is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Colton
Home
47.9% (445)
46.9% (49)
Away
45.4% (346)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Rodrigues
Colton
P1
48.3%
56.4%
P2
47.0%
47.1%
P3
44.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ross Colton |