Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 45.7% vs Colton 51.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Rodrigues
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Rodrigues
Colton
Last 9: Rodrigues 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (2,771)
51.6% (1,788)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.8% (281)
48.4% (159)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (209)
34.5% (29)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,312).
Rodrigues shoots right. Colton is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Colton
Home
46.7% (1,745)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
44.3% (1,516)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Rodrigues
Colton
P1
46.7%
53.3%
P2
45.9%
52.6%
P3
44.0%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.6%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |