Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Colton 51.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 57.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 55.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Rodrigues
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Rodrigues
Colton
Last 9: Rodrigues 4-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Rodrigues
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
51.6% (1,803)
-5.4%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
48.8% (162)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
34.5% (29)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Colton
Home
47.1% (1,836)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Rodrigues
Colton
P1
46.9%
53.7%
P2
46.1%
52.6%
P3
44.4%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |