Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs McLeod 47.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 55.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Rodrigues
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Rodrigues
McLeod
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
7
4
Rodrigues
McLeod
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
4
Rodrigues
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
2
Rodrigues
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
49.0% (827)
-1.2%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
44.0% (91)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
43.0% (272)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McLeod
Home
47.9% (445)
48.5% (619)
Away
45.4% (346)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Rodrigues
McLeod
P1
48.3%
52.7%
P2
47.0%
43.9%
P3
44.8%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |